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Electronics Industry Update

-- Semiconductor International, 12/1/1999

Worldwide Sales of
Semiconductor Devices
Click for larger image.
Historical Data: World Semiconductor Trade Statistics (WSTS)
Forecast: Semiconductor International
Manufacturers' Shipments of Electronic Components
Click for larger image.
Historical Data: U.S. Department of Commerce
Forecast: Semiconductor International
Manufacturers' Shipments of Computers & Peripheral Equipment
Click for larger image.
Historical Data: U.S. Department of Commerce
Forecast: Semiconductor International
Manufacturers' Shipments of Communications Equipment
Click for larger image.
Historical Data: U.S. Department of Commerce
Forecast: Semiconductor International

The dollar value of shipments from U.S. electronic components' manufacturers fell 0.7% between July and August of this year, but the value of August shipments was still 9.1% greater than in August 1998. The value of new orders to the industry increased 2.7% between July and August of this year, and was 43.8% higher in August than in the same month in 1998. On a 12-month-moving total basis, shipments through this August were growing at a 9.2% annual rate. Through the first eight months of 1999, the value of shipped electronic components grew by 8.4%, while the current dollar value of new orders rose 18.4%.

The total dollar value of worldwide semiconductor sales increased 5.2% from July to August, following a 10.1% decline the month before. Compared to the same month a year earlier, August 1999 sales were up 26.1%. The dollar value of all chip sales for the first eight months of 1999 (~ $90.5B) increased 14.0% from January-August 1998. Worldwide unit sales of semiconductors for the first eight months of 1999 were 10.6% ahead of 1998, and the August 1999 unit sales volume showed an increase of 1.8% from July.   

Semiconductor Capital Spending
Click for larger image.

Key points:

  • After shrinking 35% from 1996 to 1998, semiconductor capital spending will increase by 15% in 1999 to $36B.
  • By 2002, capital spending will reach $70B, almost twice as high as in 1998.
  • Spending will increase by 25% in 2000 and 35% in 2002. Spending will be for new capacity, including 300 mm fabs, and new technology, such as implementing 0.13mm processes and new materials
  • Spending by DRAM manufacturers and foundries will account for at least half of all capacity expenditures.
  • The next downturn in capital spending will occur towards the end of 2002 or 2003.

Strategic Marketing Associates is a market research company whose focus in on the fab. For information about capital spending and new fab projects, contact Strategic Marketing Associates at 831-464-2669


 

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