Electronics Industry Update
Staff -- Semiconductor International, 7/1/1998
- Semiconductor Equipment Monitor
| The dollar value of total worldwide semiconductor sales increased 15.8% between February and March. The market continues to deteriorate as the result of bulging inventory and capacity and plunging average prices. Sales grew by 31.4% be-tween February and March of 1997, almost twice the growth rate recorded this year. Despite solid end-market demand, the semiconductor device and equipment industries have been negatively impacted by the crisis in the Asia/Pacific region. The total dollar value of semiconductors sold worldwide during March was 12.2% lower than during March 1997. Cumulative first-quarter sales were 5% lower than in the first quarter of 1997. Unit sales volume increased by 10% between February and March; last year, sales volume rose 17% over the same two months. The 1998 gain represents the lowest over-the-year increase in monthly sales volume recorded in the past year. Although price and overcapacity problems may be at the root of the problems, there is also evidence that end-market demand has softened. The average selling price of all semiconductors was 20.3% lower in March than in March 1997. Problems now seem to be equally shared between the long-suffering memory product market and microprocessors. |
|
| Semiconductor Device Sales Trends by Regional Market | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $Billions | % Change from a year earlier | |||||||
| Total | Projected | Actual | Projected | |||||
| 1996 | 1997 | 1998 | 1999 | 1996 | 1997 | 1998 | 1999 | |
| World | 131.97 | 137.20 | 136.79 | 160.80 | -8.6 | 4.0 | -0.3 | 17.6 |
| Americas | 42.68 | 45.85 | 48.30 | 55.93 | -9.2 | 7.4 | 5.3 | 15.8 |
| Japan | 34.18 | 32.08 | 29.43 | 33.67 | -13.8 | -6.1 | -8.3 | 14.4 |
| Europe | 27.56 | 29.09 | 31.16 | 36.74 | -2.3 | 5.5 | 7.1 | 17.9 |
| Asia/Pacific | 27.55 | 30.18 | 27.90 | 34.46 | -6.7 | 9.6 | -7.6 | 23.5 |
| ICs | 114.94 | 119.53 | 118.26 | 139.85 | -8.8 | 4.0 | -1.1 | 18.3 |
| Discretes | 17.03 | 17.67 | 18.53 | 20.95 | -7.2 | 3.8 | 4.8 | 13.1 |
| Historical Data: World Semiconductor Trade Statistics (WSTS) | Forecast: Cahners Economics | |||||||
| Business Investment Trends & Forecasts for Asia/Pacific | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| (% Change from a year earlier, total capital spending) | |||
| 1997 | 1998 | 1999 | |
| Japan | 4.5 | -2.2 | -1.3 |
| China | 10.1 | 12.1 | 13.4 |
| South Korea | -3.5 | -21.1 | -0.2 |
| Taiwan | 8.8 | 8.9 | 7.9 |
| Hong Kong | 12.8 | 4.7 | 6.6 |
| India | 5.0 | 8.4 | 8.2 |
| Singapore | 8.9 | 4.4 | 5.1 |
| Thailand | -10.1 | -16.0 | 1.0 |
| Indonesia | 5.1 | -16.8 | 0.8 |
| Australia | 13.8 | 4.9 | 6.0 |