ASIC Market Alive and Well
In-Stat/MDR, Scottsdale, Ariz., www.instat.com -- Semiconductor International, 10/1/2004
Despite what some market analysts might believe, we are reporting that the application-specific IC (ASIC) market is alive and well, and will continue to prosper in the future, albeit at a slower pace than history would have dictated. We find that product differentiation is responsible for this market's health and, while design starts in the customer-specific, cell-based design segment of the ASIC market will flatten out and decline somewhat in the future, revenues will continue to grow. However, structured ASIC and user-programmable logic (UPL) design starts will continue their upward trend, without slowdown in the future.
"All in all, when all the elements — or in this case design methodologies — are accounted for, design starts for the overall ASIC market will continue to slowly increase, i.e., the upsides will more than equalize the downsides," said Jerry Worchel, a principal analyst with In-Stat/MDR. "The customer-specific, MOS cell-based market will continue to find use across a wide spectrum of applications, ranging from relatively low volumes of high-complexity and high-cost products, to high and very high volumes of lower-complexity and low-cost products. While the classic MOS cell-based design methodology will continue to dominate ASIC market revenues throughout the forecast period, it will steadily be losing ground to two other ASIC design alternatives: user-programmable logic and structured ASICs, along with its associated variety of family members." In-Stat/MDR believes that Asia-Pacific will be the most dynamic region, while Europe will be the most static (Figure ).
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Source: WSTS, In-Stat/MDR
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In-Stat/MDR has also found the following with regards to this market:
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Worldwide merchant market dollar consumption of customer-specific, cell-based designs, independent of complexity and/or functionality, is forecast to grow from $6.78B in 2003 to $10.76B by 2008, translating to a forecast CAGR of 9.7%.
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Consumption in the Asia-Pacific will grow at more than twice the pace of Europe and Japan, and 6.4% faster than that of the Americas. Asia-Pacific will also represent the only region to see future design starts continuously increase over the forecast period.
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In the customer-specific, MOS standard cell market, similar to other markets employing customer-specific, high-complexity designs, high-end communications and data processing infrastructure applications will dominate dollar consumption, but not necessarily in that order for every region.
The report, "Customer-Specific, Cell-Based IC Consumption Comparative Analysis: Asia Pacific Moving On Up," presents comparative data analysis of customer-specific, cell-based product consumption, at the second-level end-use market level. This report compares data, for the geographic consumption of these products, both at the SIA-defined end-use market levels, as well as one level further down, to applications such as networking factory automation, servers, cellular handsets and more. This report also includes a geographic comparison of device functionality, logic and mixed-signal. For more information, contact Courtney McEuen at 1-281-246-4668; cmceuen@reedbusiness.com. The report price is $2745.
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